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Monday, March 24, 2014

Post the free agent rush -- Mock Draft 1.0

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Round One

1. Houston Texans - Jadeveon Clowney - DE/OLB (South Carolina)
Hard to pass on a quarterback, but Seattle just showed us that defense still wins championships.

2. St. Louis Rams - Greg Robinson - OT (Auburn)
Jake Long's future is uncertain and Roger Saffold is better off at guard than tackle.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars - Blake Bortles - QB (UCF)
The Jaguars haven't had a franchise quarterback since Mark Brunnel and can't pass up the opportunity to draft one.

4. Cleveland Browns - Sammy Watkins - WR (Clemson)
Sammy Watkins, Josh Gordon, Jordon Cameron, and Andrew Hawkins will be a great receiving corps for whoever Cleveland's quarterback is.

5. Oakland Raiders - Khalil Mack DE/OLB (Buffalo)
Oakland had a lot of quality complementary signings on defense and now add a franchise edge defender they can build around. 

6. Atlanta Falcons - Jake Matthews OT (Texas A + M)
The Falcons replace the constant underperforming and often injured Sam Baker with a plug and play ten year starter.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Teddy Bridgewater - QB (Louisville)
Bridgewater is going to make teams regret passing on him and send Josh McCown back to the bench.

8. Minnesota Vikings - Mike Evans WR (Texas A + M)
The Vikings give new offensive coordinator Norv Turner his new Vincent Jackson to pair with Cordarelle Patterson.

9. Buffalo Bills - Eric Ebron TE (North Carolina)
Ebron is only one inch shorter than Calvin Johnson and only five pounds heavier so he won't be much of a blocker, but neither is Jimmy Graham.

10. Detroit Lions - Justin Gilbert - CB (Oklahoma State)
Detroit always seems to be in need of an upgrade at corner, plus Gilbert can help in the return game.

11. Tennesse Titans - Anthony Barr DE/OLB (UCLA)
The Titans need a dominant edge defender to fit new defensive coordinator Ray Horton's hybrid scheme.

12. New York Giants - Aaron Donald DT (Pittsburgh)
The Giants focused on their secondary in free agency now turn their attention to the d-line.

13. St. Louis Rams - Darqueze Dennard CB (Michigan State)
The Rams draft Dennard to be the #1 corner they paid Cortland Finnegan to be.

14. Chicago Bears - RaShede Hageman DT (Minnesota)
The Bears signed d-ends Lamar Houston and Willie Young now they must turn their focus on the interior of the line.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers - Kelvin Benjamin WR (Florida State)
Big tall WRs are hard for corners to matchup one on one with and put points on the board in the red zone.

16. Dallas Cowboys - Louis Nix DT (Notre Dame)
Nix would be the perfect compliment to newly signed three technique Henry Melton.

17. Baltimore Ravens - Taylor Lewan OT (Michigan)
The Ravens locked down left tackle Eugene Monroe and now they lock down right tackle.

18. New York Jets - Zack Martin OG/OT (Notre Dame)
The Jets may reach for an offensive weapon but Idzik seems more the play it safe guy, plus the team can use a lot of help at guard. 

19. Miami Dolphins - Haha Clinton-Dix - S (Alabama)
The Dolphins have a hole at safety next to Reshad Jones.

20. Arizona Cardinals - Derek Carr QB (Fresno State)
The Cardinals know Carson Palmer is nothing more than a stopgap and need to think about the future.

21. Green Bay Packers - C.J. Mosley - ILB (Alabama)
The Packers need to upgrade their inside linebackers, Mosley's coverage ability will be a huge asset.

22. Philadelphia Eagles - Jason Verrett CB (TCU)
The Eagles could use more than one upgrade at cornerback.

23. Kansas City Chiefs - Calvin Pryor - S (Louisville)
Free safety was the biggest hole on Kansas City's defense, Pryor should form a great tandem with Eric Berry.

24. Cincinnati Bengals - Kony Elay - DE (Missouri)
Elay would be a nice replacement for Michael Johnson.

25. San Diego Chargers - Odell Beckham Jr. - WR (LSU)
The Chargers don't have much talent at receiver besides Keenan Allen, Beckham Jr. can also help out in the return game.

26. Cleveland Browns - Johnny Manziel - QB (Texas A + M)
Similar to 2007 and 2012 Cleveland takes a higher rated player in the top five and waits to pick their quarterback in the twenties, hopefully it works out differently this time

27. New Orleans Saints - Dee Ford DE/OLB (Auburn)
Junior Galette showed he is a keeper, now they need to find someone to line up across from him.

28. Carolina Panthers - Morgan Mosses - OT (Virginia)
The Panthers have had a rough offseason so far, that said the most important shoes they need to fill are those of Jordan Gross.

29. New England Patriots - Timmy Jernigan - DT (Florida State)
Vince Wilfork's future with the team is uncertain.

30. San Francisco 49ers - Brandin Cooks - WR (Oregon State)
The 49ers need a speed element to go along with Michael Crabtree and Anquan Boldin.

31. Denver Broncos - Xavier Su'a Filo - OG (UCLA) 
The Broncos not only replace Zane Beadles they upgrade him.

32. Seattle Seahawks - Jace Amaro  - TE (Texas Tech)
Seattle needs to upgrade Russel Wilson's receiving corps.

Round Two

33. Houston Texans - Zach Mettenberger - QB (LSU)
Mettenberger would go a lot higher if it wasn't for his injury, Houston isn't complaining.

34. Washington Redskins - Jimmie Ward - S (Northern Illinois)
The Redskins need to continue to add more talent to their putrid secondary.

35. Cleveland Browns - David Yankey - OG (Stanford) 
Cleveland needs to beef up its interior, Ben Tate will love running behind him.

36. Oakland Raiders - Austin Seferian-Jenkins - TE (Washington)
Oakland can us someone as talented as Seferian-Jenkins at the TE position.

37. Atlanta Falcons - Demarcus Lawerence - DE/OLB (Boise State)
Atlanta beefed up its new 3 man d-line now needs to add a talented edge defender.

38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Marqise Lee - WR (USC)
Mike Williams is an overrated #2 option, Tampa could use an upgrade across from VJax

39. Jacksonville Jaguars - Carlos Hyde - RB (Ohio State)
Toby Gerhart has never handled an NFL workload.

40. Minnesota Vikings - Jimmy Garrappolo - QB (Eastern Illinois)
Minnesota needs to find their long term answer at quarterback.

41. Buffalo Bills - Cyrus Kouandjio - OT (Alabama)
The Bills find an upgrade to current RT Erik Pears.

42. Tennessee Titans - Tre Mason - RB (Auburn)
The Titans have grown tired of Chris Johnson and find his replacement.

43. New York Giants - Kareem Martin - DE (North Carolina)
The Giants continue to build up their defensive line.

44. St. Louis Rams - Ed Reynolds - S (Stanford)
The Rams' hope that last year's 3rd round pick T.J. McDonald is a player at strong safety, but still need to upgrade Rodney McLeod at free safety.

45. Detroit Lions - Trent Murphy - DE (Stanford)
The Lions lost Willie Young to the Bears in free agency, replace him here and complete their four man d-line.

46. Pittsburgh Steelers - Marcus Roberson - CB (Florida)
The Steelers lost Keenan Lewis last offseason and Ike Taylor is on his last legs.

47. Dallas Cowboys - Scott Crichton - DE (Oregon State)
The Cowboys continue to build their D-Line, if the season started today Georgie Selvie and Jeremy Mincey would be their starting d-ends.

48. Baltimore Ravens - Stephon Tuitt - DE/DT (Notre Dame)
The Ravens need to replace the loss of Arthur Jones.

49. New York Jets - Troy Niklas - TE (Notre Dame)
Jeff Cumberland was re-signed but he is more a #2 tight end than a #1, Niklas can be an upgrade as a blocker and a receiver.

50. Miami Dolphins - Antonio Richardson - OT (Tennessee)
Miami filled its biggest need by signing left tackle Braden Albert, now they must address the hole they have at right tackle.

51. Chicago Bears - Travis Swanson - C (Arkansas)
Roberto Garza was brought back on a one year deal, at 35 it could be his last year in the league.

52. Arizona Cardinals - Gabe Jackson - OG (Mississippi State)
By drafting Jackson, signing Jared Veldheer, and Jonathan Cooper coming back healthy the Cardinals could turn a weakness into a strength.

53. Green Bay Packers - Allen Robinson - WR (Penn State)
The Packers lost Greg Jennings last season and James Jones this season, they need reinforcements.

54. Philadelphia Eagles - Jordan Matthews - WR (Vanderbilt)
Desean Jackson will need to be replaced once he is traded or released.

55. Cincinnati Bengals - Lamarcus Joyner - CB/S (Florida State)
The Bengals can us help at both safety and corner, Joyner could help them at both spots.

56. San Francisco 49ers - Bradley Roby - CB (Ohio State)
Even before releasing Carlos Rodgers the 49ers needed help at cornerback.

57. San Diego Chargers - Jeremiah Attaochu - DE/OLB (Georgia Tech)
The Chargers need a long-term option on the other side of Melvin Ingram

58. New Orleans Saints - Chris Borland - ILB (Wisconsin)
The Saints continue to upgrade their linebackers.

59. Indianapolis Colts - Brandon Thomas - OG/OT (Clemson) 
The Colts need to upgrade Andrew Luck's protection.

60. Carolina Panthers - Davante Adams - WR (Fresno State)
If the season started today Jerricho Cotchery would be the best wide receiver on the Panthers' roster.

61. New England Patriots - Cyril Richardson - OG (Baylor)
Due to his high cap number Logan Mankins' future with the team past this season is uncertain.

62. San Francisco 49ers - Marcus Martin - C (USC)
Jonathan Goodwin has yet to resign, regardless he is 35.

63. Denver Broncos - Kyle Van Noy OLB/ILB (BYU)
Van Noy is a versatile linebacker that can play inside or out as well as rush the passer.

64. Seattle Seahawks - Donte Moncrief - WR (Ole Miss)
Seattle continues to rebuild their receiving core, Sidney Rice and Golden Tate are gone

Round Three

65. Houston Texans - Martavis Bryant - WR (Clemson)
Andre Johnson isn't getting any younger, Deandre Hopkins will need a longterm running mate.

66. Washington Redskins - Kyle Fuller - CB (Virginia Tech)
More upgrades for Washington's putrid Secondary.

67. Oakland Raiders - Joel Bitonio OT - (Nevada)
Austin Howard is being moved to guard, Donald Penn has had motivation issues his whole career, and last year's 2nd round pick Menelik Watson hasn't impressed the team yet.

68. Atlanta Falcons - Marcus Smith DE/OLB (Louisville)
The Falcons could use more than one upgrade at edge defender, much like they did at cornerback last year.

69. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Jackson Jeffcoat - DE (Texas)
Daquan Bowers has been a bust, while Adrian Clayborn has been disappointing.

70. Jacksonville Jaguars - Jared Abbrederis - WR (Wisconsin)
Justin Blackmon has been suspended indefinitely and hasn't proven that he can stay out of trouble.

71. Cleveland Browns - Charles Sims - RB (West Virginia)
Ben Tate has battled injuries his entire career and has never handled a full NFL workload.

72. Minnesota Vikings - Yawin Smallwood - ILB (Connecticut)
The Vikings have had a revolving door at inside linebacker for awhile now.

73. Buffalo Bills - Terrence Brooks - S (Florida State)
The Bills need a new safety to pair with Aaron Williams after Jarius Byrd's departure.

74. New York Giants - Weston Richburg - C (Colorado State)
Giants signed center J.D. Walton who hasn't played in an NFL game since September 2012, they need help at the position.

75. St. Louis Rams - Ego Ferguson - DT (LSU)
Kendall Langford has never lived up to his contract, the Rams need to give Michael Brockers a running mate long term.

76. Detroit Lions - Tyler Lawson - C (Utah State)
Dominic Raiola will be 36 at the end of his one year extension, meaning it very well could be his last year in the league.

77. San Francisco 49ers - Stanley Jean-Baptiste - CB (Nebraska)
The 49ers can use more than one upgrade at corner.

78. Dallas Cowboys - Jon Halapio - OG (Florida)
The Cowboys need to upgrade their guard play next to Travis Frederick.

79. Baltimore Ravens - Jarvis Landry - WR (LSU)
At 35 Steve Smith may only be in Baltimore for one season.

80. New York Jets - Loucheiz Purifoy - CB (Florida)
The Jets cut Antonio Cromartie and failed to replace him in free agency.

81. Miami Dolphins - Russel Bodine - OG (North Carolina)
The Dolphins must continue to upgrade their o-line.

82. Chicago Bears - Dion Bailey - S (USC)
The Bears would of been in the playoffs last year with better safety play.

83. Cleveland Browns - Christian Jones - ILB (Florida State)
The downfall to signing a 34 year old, is having to draft his future replacement in the same offseason.

84. Arizona Cardinals - C.J. Fiedorowicz - TE (Iowa)
The Cardinals can help offset the loss of Andre Roberts by upgrading at tight end.

85. Green Bay Packers - A.J. McCarron - QB (Alabama)
The Packers need a backup quarterback that can keep the team afloat if Aaron Rodgers has to miss time again.

86. Philadelphia Eagles - Justin Ellis DT (Louisiana Tech)
Ellis can man the nose allowing Beenie Logan to move to five technique where he is a better fit.

87. Kansas City Chiefs - Brandon Coleman - WR (Rutgers)
The Chiefs don't have much to speak of at wide receiver except a very overrated Dwayne Bowe.

88. Cincinnati Bengals - Lache Seastrunk - RB (Baylor)
Benjarvus Green-Ellis hasn't averaged over 4 yards per carry since 2010, it's time the Bengals stopped wasting carries on him.

89. San Diego Chargers - Pierre Desir CB (Lindenwood)
The Charger's starting cornerbacks would be Steve Williams and Shareece Wright if the season started today, upgrades are much needed.

90. Indianapolis Colts - Jeremy Hill - RB (LSU)
Donald Brown has moved on to San Diego while Trent Richardson averaged  a laughable 2.9 yards per carry as a Colt.

91. New Orleans Saints - Jack Mewhort - OT (Ohio State)
Mewhort can provide insurance incase Terron Armstead fails to impress, regardless New Orleans can use a quality swing tackle to make sure Drew Brees remains protected when injuries occur.

92. Carolina Panthers - Trai Turner - OG (LSU)
Even if they bring back Travelle Wharton, at 33 he might not have much more gas left in the tank.

93. New England Patriots - Xavier Grimble TE (USC)
The Patriots want to get back to running two tight end sets.

94. San Francisco 49ers - Ahmad Dixon S (Baylor)
Donte Whitner was lost in free agency and his replacement Antione Bethea's contract shows the team views hime more as a stopgap.

95. Denver Broncos - E.J. Gaines - CB (Missouri)
Even after signing Aqib Talib the Broncos could use more depth at cornerback.

96. Seattle Seahawks - Aaron Lynch DE (South Florida)
The Seahawks had one of the deeper d-lines in the league last year, after free agency that longer is the case.

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Friday, March 14, 2014

Top 5 Overpaid Free Agents

Since overpaying for a free agent is a bad move I am going to start off with criticizing the Buccaneers for the worst move of the offseason so far, releasing Darrelle Revis.  The Buccaneers essentially traded DROY of the year Sheldon Richardson and the #100 pick in this year's draft for a one year rental in which they paid a player $16 million to rehab on a 4-12 team.  Now I know Mark Dominik is no longer with the team so it is hard to bash the new regime for his misdoings, but with a player of Revis' caliber you tailor your scheme to fit him.  Imagine if the Broncos who run a 4-3 kept Von Miller at LB and never let him put his hand in the dirt and get after the passer?  The Buccaneers should have kept Revis and allowed him to shadow opposing #1 WRs and shut them down.  That is far more valuable than staying true to the zone schemes that Lovie Smith likes to run.  Revis rant over, now to the list of the top 5 overpaid free agents.


1. Atlanta Falcons - Tyson Jackson DE/DT (5yrs $25m $11m gtd.)
Atlanta obviously wanted to get tougher in the trenches as evidenced by their spending spree in the beginning of free agency.  It is also evident that they plan to shift full time to the 3-4 and need D-Lineman that fit that scheme.  Still there is no way Tyson Jackson is worth an annual average of $5 million per year.  Jackson is an above average run defender but is non existent as a pass rusher.  Last season he failed to log a single pressure, not sack, pressure in 12 of 16 games, according to profootballfocus.com.  He should of received a contract similar to the 2 year 6 million dollar deal that the 49ers gave his former teammate Glen Dorsey last offseason.

2. Minnesota Vikings - Everson Griffen DE (5yrs $42.5m $20m gtd)
Everson Griffen has started exactly one game in his NFL career so there is no way that he is worth over $8m a year and definitely not $20m gtd.  I understand that Griffen has a ton of potential and the Vikings see him as a double digit a year sack guy, but they are paying tomorrow's price today.  What happens if Griffen's production goes down when thrust into starting and playing more snaps?  The best case scenario is that he makes good on his potential and proves he is worth this kind of money, making the deal only have downside.
  
3. Denver Broncos - Aqib Talib CB (6yrs $57m $26m gtd)
Most people will point to the game from New Orleans and how Aqib Talib held Jimmy Graham without a catch.  What is left out is how Talib missed most of the second half of the game due to injury.  This is a lot of money for a guy who has been very inconsistent throughout his career and has only shown shutdown ability in a handful of games with New England.  Throw in a nagging hip injury and all the questions about his off the field issues and Denver can regret this signing rather quickly.  Talib without a doubt makes Denver better and I understand what they are trying to do with Peyton Manning only having a year or two left.  That doesn't mean they didn't severely overpay.

4. Detroit Lions - Golden Tate WR (5yrs $31m $13.5m gtd)
Golden Tate had a career high of 898 yards last season while being the "number one" in Seattle last year.  Truth is he is best as a slot WR third option so there is no reason why Detroit should be paying him $6 million a year, especially with a draft stacked with WR talent.  The Lions could of added a more talented player for much cheaper in the 2nd round.  

5. Cleveland Browns - Karlos Dansby ILB (4yrs $24m $14m gtd)
Karlos Dansby played out of his mind on a one year deal in Arizona, but the soon to be 33 year old will start to decline.  The Browns will most likely get one good year out of Dansby followed by an average season and his release.  Dansby has been one of the best ILBs in the league since he was drafted but at 33 the arrow is trending down.